<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><rss version="2.0"
	xmlns:content="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/content/"
	xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/"
	xmlns:atom="http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom"
	xmlns:sy="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/syndication/"
		>
<channel>
	<title>Comments on: probability again!!! please help!!!!?</title>
	<atom:link href="http://www.24gambling.net/casino/probability-again-please-help-2483/feed/" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" />
	<link>http://www.24gambling.net/casino/probability-again-please-help-2483/</link>
	<description>Just another WordPress weblog</description>
	<lastBuildDate>Fri, 01 Apr 2011 22:58:33 +0000</lastBuildDate>
	<sy:updatePeriod>hourly</sy:updatePeriod>
	<sy:updateFrequency>1</sy:updateFrequency>
	<generator>http://wordpress.org/?v=3.2-RC1</generator>
	<item>
		<title>By: wiseguy</title>
		<link>http://www.24gambling.net/casino/probability-again-please-help-2483/comment-page-1/#comment-5227</link>
		<dc:creator>wiseguy</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 10 Mar 2010 11:37:01 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.24gambling.net/probability-again-please-help#comment-5227</guid>
		<description>Dear emilia_3272,

Part 1)

Let
p1 = probability of rolling a 1,
p2 = probability of rolling a 2,
p3 = probability of rolling a 3,
p4 = probability of rolling a 4,
p5 = probability of rolling a 5, and
p6 = probability of rolling a 6.

We&#039;re told that
p2 = 2 p1,
p3 = 3 p1,
p4 = 4 p1,
p5 = 5 p1, and
p6 = 6 p1.

If there are no other possibilities (such as the die balancing on an edge), then from the basic axioms of probability we know that

p1 + p2 + p3 + p4 + p5 + p6 = 1, so

p1 + (2 p1) + (3 p1) + (4 p1) + (5 p1) + (6 p1) = 1
21 p1 = 1

and thus

p1 = 1/21,
p2 = 2/21,
p3 = 3/21,
p4 = 4/21,
p5 = 5/21, and
p6 = 6/21.

Therefore, the probability mass function for this die is

f(x) = x / 21, for x in {1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6}, otherwise f(x) = 0.


Part 2)

The mean is a weighted average of the possible outcomes, with the weights being the respective probabilities.  So in this case the mean m is the sum of each x times f(x).  That is,

m = (1 f(1)) + (2 f(2)) + (3 f(3)) + (4 f(4)) + (5 f(5)) + (6 f(6))
= (1 1/21) + (2 2/21) + (3 3/21) + (4 4/21) + (5 5/21) + (6 6/21)
= 1/21 + 4/21 + 9/21 + 16/21 + 25/21 + 36/21
= 91/21
= 13/3
= 4.333 (to three decimal places).

The variance v uses the same weights, but instead of applying them to the outcomes x, we apply them to (x - m)^2.

v = ((1 - 13/3)^2 f(1)) + ((2 - 13/3)^2 f(2)) + ((3 - 13/3)^2 f(3))
+ ((4 - 13/3)^2 f(4)) + ((5 - 13/3)^2 f(5)) + ((6 - 13/3)^2 f(6))
= ((10/3)^2 1/21) + ((7/3)^2 2/21) + ((4/3)^2 3/21)
+ ((1/3)^2 4/21) + ((2/3)^2 5/21) + ((5/3)^2 6/21)
= 100/189 + 98/189 + 48/189 + 4/189 + 20/189 +150/189
= 420/189
= 20/9
= 2.222 (to three decimal places).

Now you should be able to compare this with a fair die, which I think has mean 7/2 (equals 3.500) and variance 35/12 (equals 2.917 to three decimal places).  You should also check to make sure my calculations are correct.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Dear emilia_3272,</p>
<p>Part 1)</p>
<p>Let<br />
p1 = probability of rolling a 1,<br />
p2 = probability of rolling a 2,<br />
p3 = probability of rolling a 3,<br />
p4 = probability of rolling a 4,<br />
p5 = probability of rolling a 5, and<br />
p6 = probability of rolling a 6.</p>
<p>We&#8217;re told that<br />
p2 = 2 p1,<br />
p3 = 3 p1,<br />
p4 = 4 p1,<br />
p5 = 5 p1, and<br />
p6 = 6 p1.</p>
<p>If there are no other possibilities (such as the die balancing on an edge), then from the basic axioms of probability we know that</p>
<p>p1 + p2 + p3 + p4 + p5 + p6 = 1, so</p>
<p>p1 + (2 p1) + (3 p1) + (4 p1) + (5 p1) + (6 p1) = 1<br />
21 p1 = 1</p>
<p>and thus</p>
<p>p1 = 1/21,<br />
p2 = 2/21,<br />
p3 = 3/21,<br />
p4 = 4/21,<br />
p5 = 5/21, and<br />
p6 = 6/21.</p>
<p>Therefore, the probability mass function for this die is</p>
<p>f(x) = x / 21, for x in {1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6}, otherwise f(x) = 0.</p>
<p>Part 2)</p>
<p>The mean is a weighted average of the possible outcomes, with the weights being the respective probabilities.  So in this case the mean m is the sum of each x times f(x).  That is,</p>
<p>m = (1 f(1)) + (2 f(2)) + (3 f(3)) + (4 f(4)) + (5 f(5)) + (6 f(6))<br />
= (1 1/21) + (2 2/21) + (3 3/21) + (4 4/21) + (5 5/21) + (6 6/21)<br />
= 1/21 + 4/21 + 9/21 + 16/21 + 25/21 + 36/21<br />
= 91/21<br />
= 13/3<br />
= 4.333 (to three decimal places).</p>
<p>The variance v uses the same weights, but instead of applying them to the outcomes x, we apply them to (x &#8211; m)^2.</p>
<p>v = ((1 &#8211; 13/3)^2 f(1)) + ((2 &#8211; 13/3)^2 f(2)) + ((3 &#8211; 13/3)^2 f(3))<br />
+ ((4 &#8211; 13/3)^2 f(4)) + ((5 &#8211; 13/3)^2 f(5)) + ((6 &#8211; 13/3)^2 f(6))<br />
= ((10/3)^2 1/21) + ((7/3)^2 2/21) + ((4/3)^2 3/21)<br />
+ ((1/3)^2 4/21) + ((2/3)^2 5/21) + ((5/3)^2 6/21)<br />
= 100/189 + 98/189 + 48/189 + 4/189 + 20/189 +150/189<br />
= 420/189<br />
= 20/9<br />
= 2.222 (to three decimal places).</p>
<p>Now you should be able to compare this with a fair die, which I think has mean 7/2 (equals 3.500) and variance 35/12 (equals 2.917 to three decimal places).  You should also check to make sure my calculations are correct.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
</channel>
</rss>

